Sabine Auction Update

As we reported last month, 27 of the 44 long-vacant units remaining in the Sabine are finally headed to auction on February 28th. The auction is a last hope for the project which is currently facing foreclosure.

According to the Austin Business Journal, "Beverly Hills-based auctioneer Kennedy Wilson will sell-off 27 of the available 44 units Feb. 28, taking bids as low as $85,000 and $195,000. The apartments were previously listed near $204,900 and $550,000. Condo buyers would receive a one-year Tower Health Club and Spa membership and up to $1,500 in closing costs paid by the seller."

Kennedy Wilson has handled many condo auctions in the last year, including the successful Brazos Place auction in Austin. The auction will be held in February 28th at 1 p.m. at the downtown Hilton. According to the auction firm, potential buyers must register by Feb. 25. The company has set up a Web site specifically for auction information here.

It's always hard to predict what will happen in an Auction like this. In the Brazos Place auction, held during tougher times, all 19 remaining units were sold in less than 90 minutes to a packed room of bidders. In that case, the units sold at a 29% discount to the original listing price. This is, however, is a useless barometer as the units were not selling well at the original prices. More useful is the average price / square foot which at $281/SF is a 9% discount to the 2008 downtown condo average of $308. Unfortunately for the original Brazos Place residents, the units sold for 24% less on a $/SF basis than the $370/SF average of the 12 Brazos Place units sold via MLS in 2008. We'll see what will happen with the Sabine, but discounts of 20 - 35% off original prices are likely.

The Sabine is an 80-unit condo conversion project of a mostly-empty office building on Waller Creek into a new condo project adjoining the Hilton Garden Inn on 5th Street near I-35. The project was completed in 2007 and the majority of units still remain vacant although they have been removed from the market due to pending litigation. Unit plans range from one-bedroom, 682-square-foot units to two-bedrooms with as large as 1,419 square feet.

photo_002
Get the full details on the auction here.

Waller Creek Tunnel Project Advances

On Thursday, City of Austin officials approved eminent domain proceedings to reclaim a parking lot between 4th and 5th street that is required to begin the Waller Creek tunnel project.

The half-block property is essential to development of the mammoth downtown tunnel project. According to officials, it is needed for two tunnel easements, one temporary and one permanent. The approval does not initiate proceedings to claim the property, but allows city officials to do so if they can not reach agreement with property owners.

The Waller Creek Tunnel Project is a storm water bypass tunnel beginning with an inlet structure in Waterloo Park and an outlet structure at Lady Bird Lake near Waller Beach and the Four Seasons Hotel. Nearly, a mile long, the tunnel will vary between 22 and 26 feet in diameter. The project is expected to reduce the size of the 100-year floodplain of the lower Waller Creek watershed by an estimated 28 acres and allow denser development and redevelopment in a very desirable area of downtown Austin. A pump station at Waterloo Park will maintain constant water flow in the creek during the dry season, thus improving water quality and fostering a creek side atmosphere suitable for public venues or natural settings. Creek side inlets located between 4th and 5th streets and 8th and 9th streets will capture and divert additional flood waters south of 12th street.

The tunnel project is comprised of several construction projects, including utility relocation, the tunnel, the inlet, outlet, creek side inlets, and site restoration. The Tunnel project will cost approximately $127 million—an initial estimate based on 2006 dollars. Construction will take place from January 2010 until July 2014.

Waller Creek
Waller Creek Tunnel Austin

According to the Austin Business Journal, "the lot discussed this week is owned by the Strenger Real Estate Holdings Ltd. and is used for paid parking. City technical resource and professional engineer Stan Evans said the temporary easement is needed for staging construction and the permanent section is needed to restore the creek and install draining infrastructure. He said the city and the property owners are currently in negotiations, but if the two do not reach an agreement by an undisclosed deadline, eminent domain will proceed."

Downtown Rail Service to Start in March

After what seems like endless series of problems and delays, Cap Metro has announced that light rail service will begin in March. Service was originally scheduled to commence on March 30, 2009.

MetroRail will run from downtown to Leaner with stops for Lakeline, Howard, Kramer, Crestview, Highland, MLK, Jr., and Plaza Saltillo. The full 32 mile trip is estimated to take 57 minutes with a maximum speed projected to be as fast as 60 mph. Capital MetroRail will offer service every 35 minutes during morning and afternoon rush hours with fares ranging from $2 to $3 depending on distance. There will also be discounts for monthly passes and certain categories of riders. Senior citizens and children under 6 ride for free.

The trains (shown below) are very attractive. The city's six trains will each have a capacity of 200 passengers with 108 seated and 92 standing. Believe it or not, the train will actually have wifi service on board as well as bicycle racks and work tables. For safety, the vehicles have ten cameras outside and six inside, as well as a sophisticated communications system.

MetroRail was originally approved in 2004 when voters within Capital Metro's territory endorsed MetroRail as part of a long-range mass transit plan, which also includes expanded local and express bus service, as well as a possible streetcar system (modeled after the Portland Streetcar), which would connect downtown Austin, the Texas State Capitol complex and the University of Texas-Austin with the master-planned Mueller Community redevelopment project. Technically, the system is not considered light rail, because it shares the main-line tracks used by freight trains, and because of its infrequent rush hour-focused service.

With a downtown stop in front of the convention center, the train will allow some downtown workers to commute to a limited number of transit friendly city locations. For Austin residents who don't live downtown, the new train will provide a way to bypass rush hour traffic.

With one route, 9 stops, and infrequent service, the train is unlikely to have a dramatic effect on the city when it begins service. In fact, the City is estimating ridership at 2,000 people a day. While a small portion of the population, removing 2,000 cars from downtown and the other destinations on a daily basis would be significant. The important thing to note is that this is the beginning: if it is successful, more trains, routes, and increasingly frequent service may be added in the future.

Austin Cap Metro Metrorail light rail train car

Austin Cap Metro Metrorail interior

Austonian Dismantles Crane, Throws Party

Over the last few weeks, the Austonian has been slowly dismantling its crane, signaling the beginning of the final phase of construction. With the exterior shell complete and the elevators now fully functional, the Austonian invited hundreds of guests to a private party on the the top three floors of the tower last Friday night.

From floors 54, 55, an 56, I was able to see downtown from a new perspective. Needless to say, the first observation is that the Austonian is really, really, really tall. From the 56th floor, the Monarch looks tiny and the top of the Frost Bank Tower is far below. Even the 44-story 360 tower is much, much smaller. It is so tall that your ears will inevitably pop on the way up and down in the high speed elevators. At night, the city streets stretch out endlessly in almost every direction while the capital glows and the lights of sixth street flash their bright colors.

There will be at least one more opportunity for non-residents to get a look at the amazing view before residents begin moving in June. In May, the Austonian will be the site of the Women's Symphony League of Austin's 2010 Symphony Designer Show house which will be open to the public. It will be a great chance to see what can be done visually with a high end condo.

Austonian Austin Condo View North
Austonian Austin Condo View West

Update: New Central Library Progress

The City of Austin has more residents than the cities of Boston (although the Austin MSA is smaller than the Boston metropolitan area), Seattle and Nashville. Austin's central library is 110,000 square feet - 1/5 the size of Boston's main library, 1/3 of Nashville's, and 1/5 of Seattle's. The Austin central library seats 300 people while Boston's library seats 4,400. Austin has 75 public computers vs. 550 in Boston and 400 in Seattle.

Right now, the City is actively working on plans for a flagship central library to be located where Shoal Creek crosses Cesar Chavez facing out over Ladybird lake. The project is slated to be designed by top notch Texas architects Lake|Flato. Additional details are scheduled to be released when the proposal goes before the City Council in February.

Lake, who leads the design of Austin's new central library for Lake|Flato, said the design team is currently reconciling wish lists with budgetary realities. Collaborating architectural firm Shepley Bulfinch is leading the programming phase; the work reflects ideas and input gathered from Austinites and library staff at a series of meetings in November.

According to the Chronicle, the design team is also considering how the library will interact with the site and surrounding urban fabric. "We are keen on making this library a gateway to Downtown, Lady Bird Lake, Shoal Creek, and the trail system," said Lake. The building will be sited right on the shore of Shoal Creek, across Cesar Chavez from the lake. "Libraries are becoming more public-spirited buildings – a city living room," he said. "For Austin, it makes perfect sense to engage the creek and the river. Wouldn't it be great if people could sit out on the library's porch?"

The City's pitch for a new central library is based on the argument that a Central Library with a rich collection of materials and a wide range of services is vital for the continued health of the Austin library system. The hope is that a new library would "foster intellectual energy and excitement among its citizens. It would become a community destination, bringing citizens of all ages to the central business district for pursuit of leisure reading, social interaction, lifetime learning experiences, and for the experience of being in a cultural showcase for the arts."

The current list of ideas envisioned for a new Central Library
include:

- A building located in the emerging civic/cultural center of downtown which would be an architecturally and aesthetically important destination for both residents and visitors
- At least 300,000-400,00 square feet of space to accommodate an in-depth and growing collection for current and future needs
- Rooms for community events and meetings, as well as a public auditorium seating up to 300 persons
- Exhibit and display space
- A separate space for children’s programs
- Additional public computers and classrooms for computer-aided instruction and distance learning for the public and library staff
- Connections for customers who bring in their own laptop computers
- Expanded seating space including designated quiet study areas, group study areas, and lounges
- Parking for 350-475 cars
- Coffee shop, gift shop, and book sales areas
- Drive-up window for quick book return and pickup of reserved materials
- Expanded collection of periodicals, journals, and newspapers
- Collections in world languages and services for non- English speakers and new immigrants

We'll continue to track the library's progress as new details emerge over then next month.

Sabine Auction Planned for February

After a tenant lawsuit and a recent foreclosure posting, it looks as if 27 of the 44 long-vacant remaining units in the Sabine are finally headed to auction on February 28th.

The Sabine is an 80-unit condo conversion project of a mostly-empty office building on Waller Creek into a new condo project adjoining the Hilton Garden Inn on 5th Street near I-35. The project was completed in 2007 and the majority of units still remain vacant although they have been removed from the market due to pending litigation.

The project has been plagued with problems. A year ago, 35 residents of The Sabine filed suit against the developers for list of problems that the condo owners say have been ongoing for month. The problems included elevator issues (a 12/29/08 elevator inspection exposed 19 code violations including some that were described as serious safety problems), problems with water leaks, window seals, and sound-proofing, and failure to pay property taxes on more than 40 units.

In addition, Compass bank has twice posted the property for foreclosure.

Now, the developer has settled with the tenants and turned control of the HOA over to the current Sabine owners -- an unusual move for a project with so many vacant units. In addition, the developer has committed to major renovations to remedy the issues raised in the lawsuit. With the lawsuit gone, the developers are able to pursue their long-rumored plan to auction off the remaining units. The auction date for 27 of the 44 units has been set for February 28. It is not clear what will be done with the remaining 17 units.

The Brazos Place auctions (as well as the sale of deeply-discounted Shore properties) showed in an even more difficult market that there is strong demand for highly discounted downtown Austin condo units. For potential bidders, auctions like this typically bring a 25-30% discount off the original prices. In the case of the Sabine

21c Austin: Condos Out, Apartments Possible

In December, the 21c team returned to Austin to comment on the Waller Creek plan and to discuss their future intentions for their prime Waller Creek site adjoining Red River and Cesar Chavez downtown.

For those of you unfamiliar with the history, the project was originally scoped as a 44-story condo and hotel project on third and Brazos street. In a surprise move, the developers abandoned the planned third and Brazos project in favor of a new multi-building complex to be located a few blocks East on Waller Creek.

The new project, also to be named 21c, was slated to include a 16-story hotel with 243 rooms which would be followed by a 49-story condo tower. The hotel was supposed to break ground in 2009 and the condo tower was supposed to break ground by 2010. Then, the project became a victim of the financing crisis that has scuttled most of the other unbuilt Austin projects.

Fortunately, the developers keep trying to make the project work. In December, the 21c provided a basic overview of their current but unfunded plans for the site. First, the condos have been eliminated. In the current environment, it is simply not possible to fund a new high-end condo project in downtown Austin. Instead, the developers are focusing on a 31-story 350 unit apartment tower near the corner of Red River and Cesar Chavez. Rents would start at $1.50 per square foot which would mean $1,000 / month for a 700 square foot unit or $1,500 for a 1,000 square foot unit if they are able to hit the low-end of the target range. The goal would be to make the building 70% 1 bedroom / 1 bath units. As many as 10% of the units for be designated as affordable units with controlled rents.

The second tower -- which is more precarious in the current environment -- would be a 12-story 200 room hotel, spa, and restaurant. The developers are hoping to put parking underground and include ground retail in the project. Although no specifics have been announced, the third tower could include condos if at some point it does get built.

Since the plan remains unfunded, the project is not likely to rise anytime soon. But the fact that the developers are actively working with the city and still try to line-up funding means that a 21c project may be yet to rise.

Exclusive: November Condo Sales Volume Strong, Prices Moderate

We've updated the AustinTowers | urbanspace Downtown Austin Condo Market Index for November, 2009 and, for the sixth month in a row, MLS sales volumes have increased in comparison to previous year numbers. On a per square foot basis, year-to-date prices are down about 5% over the comparable 2008 numbers.

Month
Sales
Avg. Price
$/SF
Avg SF
Avg Year
% Ask
ADOM
Nov-08

8

$460,973

$322
1,361
1989
93%
151

Nov-09

13

$292,018

$286
1,022
1995
96%
78

Change

63%

-37%

-11%
-25%
5.80
4%
-48%

In the month of November, 13 downtown Austin condo units were transacted on the MLS: 5 more than in November of 2009 with an 11% lower price per square foot. In addition, the % of asking price jumped significantly from 93% a year ago and 87% in June to a more typical 96%. Average days on market for units that sold came in at 78, an enormous 48% drop over last year. There are many units that have been on the market for a long time, especially larger and nicer units which have not been moving. The most expensive unit sold in November was $554,750. Continuing a trend toward lower priced units, nine units sold for less than $300,000 including a tiny 454 square foot unit that sold for $110,600.

Sold units were in seven projects including 360 (3), Penthouse condos (3), Milago (3), Five Fifty 05 (2), Railyard (1), and Towers on Town Lake (1). Units in 360 carried the highest price per square foot during the month with an average of $374/SF.

As always, the results show the weakness of the MLS. While 13 units sold through MLS, additional units went ton sale at tSpring and other new projects outside of the MLS. While the MLS numbers continue to show growth in transaction volume, it is difficult to know what is happening in the broader market as sales office transactions are rarely included in the MLS numbers. For example, no Spring units have appeared in any of the MLS sales reports this year.

See the full index here.





New 27-Story Condo/Office Project Announced!

For the first time in a very long time, a developer has announced plans to construct a new 27-story downtown condo and office tower. The developer is proposing to build a tower of up to 350 feet on the vacant lot between Whole Foods and Austin City Lofts. The announcement is a clear sign that the downtown market is stabilizing and expected to improve dramatically over the next few years.

The building is being proposed by Schlosser Development, a local firm with a significant track record in the 6th and Lamar neighborhood. Schlosser developed the Whole Foods headquarters, the Home Away headquarters across the street, the Officemax building just South of Whole Foods, and the REI / BookPeople building just to the North. This appears to be the company's first tower project.

As proposed, the new building would include:

- Street level retail and parking on the lower floors

- 16 stories of office space

- 90 condo units on the top seven floors

- A companion building on the 2.7 acre site would include three levels of commercial office space with parking and street-level retail. The smaller building allows full utilization of the site which is partially in a protected capital view corridor

Since zoning limits development on the site to 120 feet, a variance would be required to build the project as proposed. The tow buildings would comprise a whopping 600,000 square feet.

The announcement of such a large condo and office project is another sign of a downtown market resurgence. In this case, the developers may have been inspired by the recent leasing of 52,000 square feet of office space on a nearby project to HomeAway. There has been very little new office capacity added downtown over the 5 years: the last large scale office project to be constructed downtown was the Frost Bank Tower which was completed in 2004.

$200M Project Approved for South Shore of Ladybird Lake

The Austin City Council granted final approval for the $200 million Grayco Lakeshore development on the South sure of Ladybird Lake just east of I-35. In exchange for approving the development of the first four buildings, the Council required the developer to contribute $3.1 million to support affordable housing.

The massive project will include as many as 1,200 apartments and nearly 100,000 square feet of retail. Despite the financial crisis which has depressed development in Austin and across the country, Grayco has continued to aggressively push for development of the site. Under the revised plans, Grayco will replace a four building 520-unit apartment complex with as many as 1,200 new apartments.

The most notable element of this project is its scale: Grayco’s plan seems to be to create an entire district, a whole new neighborhood to attract residents to this emerging near-downtown market. While the final plans have not been released -- and the developers have hinted that the final proposal may be less urban -- the scale of the project is certain to remain large.

Sabine & Star Riverside Posted for Foreclosure

Two troubled downtown condo projects -- Sabine & Star Riverside -- have run into financial problems and been posted for foreclosure.

The failure of these projects is a combination of market conditions and their own troubled history. The Sabine is a troubled 10-story office building conversion project at Sabine and West Fifth streets that was completed in 2007. With 44 of the 80 units unsold and litigation between residents and the developer over sued faulty and unsafe elevators and leaks, sales of units have slowed dramatically. With the current foreclosure, an agreement is apparently underworks that will transfer control of the building to the building's homeowner association. With the majority of units unsold, an auction is a likely next step to raise additional capital to make the lenders whole.

Star Riverside has had an equally difficult time getting off the ground. As an expensive project located on the wrong side of the lake and the wrong side of I-35, Star Riverside has been repeatedly reinvented as the result of changing market conditions and neighborhood concerns. Construction was halted two months ago, with only the parking garage about 80 percent complete. With prices starting at more than $600K, the low-rise project East of I-35 and South of downtown faces tough odds for success. With the economic decline, the project has lost key financial support.

Despite the bad news, both projects claim that deals will be reached before the projects are but up for sale in the January 5 foreclosure auction. For Sabine, the news is another blow to existing residents who will likely see the remaining units sold at a a significant discount. For Star Riverside, it's hard to believe the project can be created without a significant repositioning that better matches pricing and configuration to the location and current market conditions.

Analysis: Understanding The Density Decision

This is an important week for the future of downtown development. Over the last few years, the City has advocated dense downtown development as an alternative to suburban sprawl, traffic, and high infrastructure costs. On December 17, the Austin City Council is scheduled to vote on proposals to require developers to provide community benefits such as affordable housing, child care services, or cultural spaces.

While the proposal sounds reasonable, it is unclear whether the proposal will result in high density and new services (good) or higher downtown costs and reduced density (bad). The fact is that the proposal has real costs for the developers and the tenants looking fo housing, companies thinking about moving downtown, and retail entrepreneurs looking to open shop downtown. The proposal will inevitably lead to higher downtown costs for future projects.

In making this proposal, the City is treating density as a luxury that needs to be sold. While similar proposals have passed in Seattle, Tampa, San Diego, Portland, Denver, Nashville, Vancouver and Calgary. Some of these are great cities. But it's hard to compare the forces that have shaped these environments to the specifics of downtown Austin.

The real question is this: Is downtown density a good thing?

Over the last decade, Austin's policy has advocated strongly for downtown density. And there are many reasons why downtown density makes sense: the environmental impact is minimized, public transportation is easier, sprawl is reduced, and tax revenue is high compared to the services and infrastructure required.

Today, unfortunately, Austin is not a high density city: even the central downtown area is relatively low density compared to the core of other major cities. Of the top 25 cities, Austin is the 20th most dense city. In Texas, Houston, Dallas, and San Antonio all have higher levels of density than Austin. If you you think Houston is sprawling, than you probably won't like Austin in a few decades if current growth rates persist. El Paso is the only large Texas city with a lower level of density than Austin.

While many people question whether downtown development is good or bad, there is no better way to improve population density. A dense urban core is vibrant, ecologically-friendly, and traffic-friendly. It is the best antidote to sprawl. While downtown development won't stop sprawl in Austin, it is the first step in the right direction. It provides people who want to bike to work or walk to dinner with an alternative that hasn't previously existed in Austin.

Over the coming couple of decades, Austin will double and triple in size. We have two choices: One is to expand endlessly into the hill country with new sub-divisions and the traffic and environmental impact they bring. The second is to grow downtown smartly with real density. While painful sprawl may be inevitable, every 300 unit downtown project saves 100 acres of land from development while making the city more vibrant. We need downtown parks and services, but we should tax downtown developers and penalize density, especially when we are not willing to do the same with the developers driving suburban sprawl.

Austin: #1 For Being Ranked on Lists

Austin is no longer a well-kept secret. It seems that hardly a week goes by where Austin does make a list of the top places to live or work or bike or to be indoors or to be outdoors or just about anything else that can be listed. So, thanks to Sam Thacker who created a list of Austin lists in the Austin Business Insight Examiner.

Here are some of the highlights:

- The Milken Institute ranked the Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood MSA as second in the country behind Austin for overall best performance in creating jobs.

- In October, Business Week and The Brookings Institute ranked Austin #2 out of 100 metro areas with the highest metropolitan growth product (MGP) and employment potential.

- In October, CNN-Money ranked Austin #9 as one of the best places to launch a business.

- In October, Portfolio.com ranked Austin #1 out of 100 of the largest cities in the country for job creation. San Antonio, Houston, and Dallas/Ft. Worth all ranked within the top five.

- In September, The Austin Business Journal and IHC Insight named Austin and San Antonio as the first two most likely large American cities to bounce back to pre-recession employment. Of cities highlighted by IHC 6 of the top 20 are in Texas.

- In August, Forbes ranked Austin as the least stressful city to live in out of 40 it studied. Factors it considered were housing values, traffic congestion and unemployment.

It's no secret that Austin is a great place to live, but it is great to hear that the local economy ranks among the strongest in the country. With high potential for job creation, migration, and economic growth, Austin has the key ingredients to exit the economic downturn and see real estate appreciation ahead of the pack.

Austin Home Listings Slide by 20%

The Wall Street Journal is reporting that the number of homes listed for sale has declined in many U.S. cities in November, reversing a strongly negative trend.

In the 27 metropolitan areas covered in the ZipRealty survey, housing inventory dropped by an average of 28% over the last year and 2.4% during the last month. In Austin, the number of home listings slid by 19.8 percent over the last year and 3 percent between October and November.

The slide in inventory is a positive step: it means that supply and demand are returning to a more normal balance after a very difficult year. While seasonal trends will cause inventories to rise again in January, it's the year-over-year trend that is most important.

According to the Journal, the one month change is less significant as "Inventories typically decrease modestly in November compared with the previous month, according to Zelman & Associates, a research firm. Over the past 25 years, the average change has been a decline of 1.8%."

The Journal also notes that the exact level of supply is impossible to pin down, partly because multiple listing services don't include all the foreclosed homes that banks are preparing to put on the market. As of the end of October, banks and mortgage investors had 639,000 foreclosed homes for sale across the U.S., Barclays Capital estimates. That's equivalent to more than 10% of expected U.S. home sales this year. The bank-owned homes are largely concentrated in Florida, California, Arizona and Nevada.

The MLS also excludes newly constructed downtown Austin condo units that are not being sold by realtors. This means that most of the units in the Austonian, Four Seasons, W, Spring, and other projects are excluded from the inventory numbers. Since the same was true last year, the 12 month change does seem to be a significant development.

$500B in Home Value Disappears

According to ZIllow, Total home values in the United States fell $489 billion in the first 11 months of 2009. A large drop, to be sure, but it marks a significant improvement from 2008, when homes lost a total of $3.6 trillion in values. In addition, about one-third of the markets we covered (48 of 154) had gains in total home values. The Boston metropolitan statistical area (MSA) topped this list, gaining $23.3 billion. Last year, the Boston MSA lost $53.4 billion.

On the other end of the spectrum, the Los Angeles MSA’s housing market lost the most dollars in 2009 — $60.8 billion. But even that was a significant improvement from 2008, when the MSA lost $345.8 billion. The LA market has actually performed quite well recently, having seen six consecutive months of monthly gains in home values as of October, but the strong negative performance earlier in the year dug the overall market a large hole early on.

View the full report
here.